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World shares dipped on Friday as investors awaited progress towards more US fiscal stimulus, while the dollar was set for a weekly loss and cryptocurrency Bitcoin hit a record high.
Markets in China and most of Southeast Asia were closed for the Lunar New Year. China’s stock and bond markets, foreign exchange and commodity futures markets are closed through Feb. 17 for the holiday.
Futures for the S&P 500 declined 0.2%.
MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries, fell 0.15% on the day, shy of record highs reached earlier this week.
European shares as measured by the STOXX 600 index fell at the start of trading but bobbed higher to trade flat by midday in London. Germany’s DAX was down 0.5%.
Italy’s FTSEMIB index fell 0.2% on the day, with the country’s bond yields near record lows on hopes of a new government led by former ECB President Mario Draghi.
Investors weighed some tepid economic data against increasing COVID-19 vaccinations and the prospect that more government spending and continued cheap money from central banks will drive higher growth and, eventually, inflation.
“We’re very bullish on equities. Central banks across the world are much more clearer of late that their policies will be accommodative even beyond the current emergency period and this is further supportive for risk assets,” said Jeffrey Sacks, head of EMEA investment strategy at Citi Private Bank.
Investors will have to follow a “spike train”, monitoring hospital admissions, stimulus, inflation and volatility, said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, in his monthly letter to clients.
“Overall, we retain a favourable view of markets over our tactical investment horizon,” he said. “While the ‘spike train’ may lead to volatility, we don’t think it will derail the bull market.”
Earlier, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.2%, trading just shy of a record high reached in the previous session. Australian stocks lost 0.63%. Shares in Tokyo fell 0.14%, pulling back from 30-year highs.
On Wall Street on Thursday, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.02%.
Prices held near records as investors bet on more government spending, although enthusiasm was tempered when US President Joe Biden said China was poised to “eat our lunch,” raising fears of renewed strains on Sino-US ties.
US weekly unemployment claims fell less than expected and core consumer prices rose at a slower pace, causing some traders to temper their optimism about the economic outlook.
Bitcoin reached $49,000 before erasing gains.
BNY Mellon announced it would help clients hold, transfer and issue digital assets days after Elon Musk’s Tesla said it had bought $1.5 billion worth of the cryptocurrency and would accept it as a form of payment for its cars.
Spot gold fell 0.5% to $1,816.91 per ounce. US gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,816.6. Gold prices are still on track for their best week in three amid broad dollar selling.
The dollar index rose 0.25% on Friday but was still on course for a 0.6% weekly decline.
Soft demand at an auction of $27 billion of new 30-year Treasuries on Thursday rattled bond investors.
World stocks were on course to extend a five-day run of record highs on Thursday, while bitcoin took a breather after its latest surge and Russia’s markets
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