Stocks sink under weight of another collapse in oil prices - GulfToday

Stocks sink under weight of another collapse in oil prices

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The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt on Monday. Reuters

Global stock markets nosedived on Monday as energy stocks get hammered by the latest collapse in the price of oil. Wall Street opened lower on Monday as traders grappled with a continued drop in oil prices, which fell to 22-year lows as the coronavirus pandemic sapped demand for energy.

The S&P 500 was down 1% after the first 15 minutes of trading, ahead of a busy week where dozens of CEOs at the biggest US companies are scheduled to show investors how badly the coronavirus outbreak hit their profits in the first three months of the year.

The losses ate into some of the big gains the market has made since late March, driven lately by investors looking ahead to parts of the economy possibly reopening as infections level off in hard-hit areas. Pessimists have called the rally overdone, pointing to the severe economic pain sweeping the world.

That pain is perhaps most prevalent in the oil industry, where idled factories and automobiles around the world have forced demand for energy to collapse.

Benchmark US crude oil for June delivery plunged 9% to $22.75 per barrel, as of 9:45 a.m. Eastern time. Oil for delivery in May cratered by an even wider margin, down 34% to just $12.00. Earlier in the morning, it touched its lowest price since 1998.

The contract for oil delivery in May is close to expiring, so trading is much more active in the June contract. But both are dropping sharply on the same fear: Demand for oil has shriveled so much - while producers continue to pull it from the ground - that facilities for storing crude in Oklahoma are close to running out of room.

Energy stocks in the S&P 500 sank 4.5% for the worst loss among the 11 sectors that make up the index.

Among them was Halliburton, which fell more than 5% even though it reported stronger profit and revenue for the first three months of 2020 than analysts expected. The oilfield services provider said that the pandemic has created so much turmoil in the industry that it “cannot reasonably estimate” how long the hit will last. It expects a further decline in revenue and profitability for the rest of 2020, particularly in North America.

Brent crude, the international standard, was down $1.38, or 4.9%, to $26.70 per barrel. Big oil-producing countries have agreed to cut production to help balance supplies with demand, but many analysts say the cuts are not sharp enough to lift prices.

“Basically, bears are out for blood,” analyst Naeem Aslam of Avatrade said in a report. “The steep fall in the price is because of the lack of sufficient demand and lack of storage place given the fact that the production cut has failed to address the supply glut.” The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 327 points, or 1.3%, to 23,914, and the Nasdaq was down 0.6%.

In Tokyo the Nikkei 225 fell 1.1% after Japan reported that its exports fell nearly 12% in March from a year earlier as the pandemic hammered demand in its two biggest markets, the US and China. The Hang Seng index in Hong Kong lost 0.2%, and South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.8%. US Treasury yields remained extremely low. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped to 0.62% from 0.65% late Friday. It started the year near 1.90%. Bond yields drop when their prices rise, and investors tend to buy Treasurys when they’re worried about the economy.

The S&P 500 has trimmed its loss by roughly half since falling from its record in February. It’s now down about 16% from its high, after being down 33% in late March.

European stock markets erased early gains on Monday as a slide in oil prices hammered energy stocks, with investors also bracing for the worst corporate quarterly earnings season since the 2008 financial crisis due to the coronavirus pandemic.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down 1% after gaining as much as half a per cent in early trading, with the energy sector posting its fourth decline in five sessions.

Total SA, BP Plc and Royal Dutch Shell Plc were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index, as oil prices fell to levels last seen in 1999 on oversupply concerns.

The STOXX 600 has recovered about 23% since hitting an eight-year low in March on dramatic fiscal and monetary stimulus around the world, but still remains 31% away from reclaiming its record high as evidence of the economic hit from the pandemic piles up. “We are starting to get a reality check in terms of what companies are saying to us and markets are navigating that at the moment,” said Richard Dunbar, head of multi-asset research at Aberdeen Standard Investments.

“It feels like a lot of the benefits of the central bank intervention appears to have passed and all eyes are now on the damage that has been done to company earnings and their ability to pay dividends.” As the first-quarter earnings season kicks into high gear, analysts expect STOXX 600 firms to post a 22% plunge in earnings after initially forecasting a 10.5% rise, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Oakley and Ray-Ban maker EssilorLuxottica became the latest company to scrap its dividend and said it could consider cost cuts to shore up cash reserves as the pandemic chokes business. Its shares fell 0.8%.

Agencies

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